Before investing or trading
Dani
Alves Jersey , it is important to develop a strategy or game plan
that is consistent with your goals and style. The ultimate goal is to make money
(win), but there are many different methods to go about it.
As with many
aspects of trading, many sports offer a good analogy. A football team with goals
geared towards ball control and low-scoring games might adapt a conservative
style that focuses on the run. Teams that want to score often and score quickly
are more likely to pursue an aggressive style geared towards passing. Teams are
usually aware of their goal and style before they develop a game plan. Investors
and traders can also benefit by keeping in mind their goals and style when
developing a strategy.
Goals
First and foremost are goals. The
first set of questions regarding goals should center on risk and return. One
cannot consider return without weighing risk. It is akin to counting your
chickens before they are hatched. Risk and return are highly correlated. The
higher the potential return, the higher the potential risk. At one end of the
spectrum are US Treasury bonds, which offer the lowest risk (so-called risk free
rate) and a guaranteed return.
For stocks, the highest potential returns
(and risk) center around growth industries with stock prices that exhibit high
volatility and high price multiples (PE, PriceSales, PriceHope). The lowest
potential returns (and risk) come from stocks in mature industries with stock
prices that exhibit relatively low volatility and low price
multiples.
After your goals have been established
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consistent with achieving those goals. The expected return and desired risk will
affect your trading or investing style. If your goal is income and safety,
buying or selling at extreme levels (overboughtoversold) is an unlikely style.
If your goals center on quick profits, high returns and high risk, then bottom
picking strategies and gap trading may be your style.
Style
Styles range from aggressive day traders looking to scalp 14-12 point
gains to investors looking to capitalize on long-term macro economic trends. In
between, there are a whole host of possible combinations including swing
traders, position traders, aggressive growth investors, value investors and
contrarians. Swing traders might look for 1-5 day trades
Andrea
Barzagli Jersey , position traders for 1-8 week trades and value
investors for 1-2 year trades.
Not only will your style depend on your
goals, but also on your level of commitment. Day traders are likely to pursue an
aggressive style with high activity levels. The goals would be focused on quick
trades, small profits and very tight stop-loss levels. Intraday charts would be
used to provide timely entry and exit points. A high level of commitment, focus
and energy would be required.
On the other hand, position traders are
likely to use daily end-of-day charts and pursue 1-8 week price movements. The
goal would be focused on short to intermediate price movements and the level of
commitment, while still substantial, would be less than a day trader. Make sure
your level of commitment jibes with your trading style. The more trading
involved, the higher the level of commitment.
Once the goals have been
set and preferred style adopted
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Sandro Jersey , it is time to develop a strategy. This strategy
would be based on your returnrisk preferences, tradinginvesting style and
commitment level. Because there are many potential trading and investing
strategies, I am going to focus on one hypothetical strategy as an
example.
GOAL: First, the goal would be a 20-30% annual return. This is
quite high and would involve a correspondingly high level of risk. Because of
the associated risk, I would only allot a small percentage (5-10%) of my
portfolio to this strategy. The remaining portion would go towards a more
conservative approach.
STYLE: Although I like to follow the market
throughout the day, I cannot make the commitment to day trading and use of
intraday charts. I would pursue a position trading style and look for 1-8 week
price movements based on end-of-day charts. Indicators will be limited to three
with price action (candlesticks) and chart patterns will carry the most
influence.
Strategy
Part of this style would involve a strict
money management scheme that would limit losses by imposing a stop-loss
immediately after a trade is initiated. An exit strategy must be in place before
the trade is initiated. Should the trade become a winner, the exit strategy
would be revised to lock in gains. The maximum allowed per trade would be 5% of
my total trading capital. If my total portfolio were 300,000
Juventus Short
Shirt , then I might allocate 21,000 (7%) to the trading portfolio.
Of this 21,000, the maximum allowed per trade would be 1050 (21,000 *
5%).
STRATEGY: The trading strategy is to go long stocks that are near
support levels and short stocks near resistance levels. To maintain prudence, I
would only seek long positions in stocks with weekly (long-term) bull trends and
short positions in stocks with weekly (long-term) bear trends. In addition, I
would look for stocks that are starting to show positive (or negative)
divergences in key momentum indicators as well as signs of accumulation (or
distribution).
My indicator arsenal would consist of two momentum
indicators (PPO and Slow Stochastic Oscillator) and one volume indicator
(AccumulationDistribution Line). Even though the PPO and the Slow Stochastic
Oscillator are momentum oscillators, one is geared towards the direction of
momentum (PPO) and the other towards identifying overbought and oversold levels
(Slow Stochastic Oscillator). As triggers
Customized
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reversals and gaps to enter a trade.
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