锘? Recently sports have seen minor controversies to major
scandals that all have direct or indirect handicapping lessons. In
short
Mats Sundin Leafs
Jersey , they can be summed up in what we preach time and time
again at GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders. The key to successful sports
betting is getting an edge as often as possible.
This is exactly why
coaches are notoriously secretive about the injury status of key players and
also why we sports bettors exercise every source to get the accurate lowdown.
Coaches believe more he knows about the injury status of his and his
opponent's key players, the more of an edge his team will get. It's the same way
with gamblers against their sportsbook opponent.
It's precisely the
reason the now infamous scandals of disgraced NBA referee Tim Donaghy and likely
soon-to-be former Texas A&M football coach Dennis Franchione are so
significant. Sports investing in much like Wall Street betting and "inside
information" that coaches and refs have access to is the sports broker's version
of insider trading.
So is the lesson for the sports gambler that if we
don't get the state's evidence directly from a coach or referee that we are out
of luck? Absolutely not. "Inside" information is far from the only way to get
the upper hand on betting the odds.
A lot of valuable insight is out
there. Just because information is public does not mean it's widely circulated.
So often the keenest intelligence comes to light after the odds have
been posted, often somewhat limiting how sportsbooks can act in response. We've
long touted Google News as our favorite aggregator of sports betting information
such as injuries, expert analysis on how teams match up
Johnny Bower Leafs
Jersey , motivation recognition and other very useful bullet
points.
However, Topix and ESPN have also teamed up to try to compete
with Google News. Replacing their "Sitelines" section, ESPN has partnered with
Topix to create "ESPN local". This new feature aggregates articles of interest
to the sports fan and gambler. That being said, Google News still reigns
supreme, but the ESPNTopix synergy has potential for the handicapper.
We
move on to a minor controversy
Jonathan Bernier
Leafs Jersey , but certainly an example of a coach pulling out all
the stops to get the leg up on the competition or more accurately to counter the
eminence of their foe.
Georgia finally ended Florida's series domination
in college football. In said game, the Bulldogs had a choreographed excessive
celebration penalty after their first touchdown. Head coach Mark Richt admitted
he told the team, "I expect you guys to celebrate to the point where the
official will throw a flag for excessive celebration."
Richt said his
instructions were intended to fire up his team because he felt they needed to
play with more passion. He did not specifically verify, but we strongly suspect
that the fact that Florida had won 15 of the previous 17 meetings was
motivational factor No. 1.
The handicapping ramifications are to never
underestimate the importance of emotion and the psychology of sports. Of course
most players on both Florida and Georgia were being potty trained when the
domination started. Each team has gone through several coaching changes during
the era. Despite all that, clearly Richt knew that a well publicized one-sided
rivalry leads to swagger from one team and a "culture of losing" from the other.
Sports bettors should not completely disregard historical data even if
the period precedes every player and coach who will affect that outcome of the
game being handicapped. I honestly believe if Georgia had the 15-2 series
edge
James Van
Riemsdyk Leafs Jersey , Richt would never have felt the need to
manufacture boastfulness and confidence.
Then there was the short-lived,
though periodic speculation about the Indianapolis Colts piping in crowd noise
during home games. For our purposes, the veracity of these accusations is not as
relevant as the fact that there is a reason why opponents care if the Colts are
bending rules.
Again, crowd noise can give a home team-we will say it
again-"the edge". Few coaches or players will dispute the affect of the "12th
man" in football or the "6th man" in basketball.
This is why we love it
when we read that a team has for example "only the third sellout in two years"
or that the small town mayor held a noon pep rally the day of a big game.
Not that a game or pointspread is necessarily going to be affected by a
pep rally, but such seemingly innocuous events are symptoms of how significant a
specific game is and how passionate the hometown crowd is going to be.
In college
Authentic Doug Gilmour
Jersey , we always keep an eye out for when the non-elite college
basketball teams are playing home games while the student body is on winter
break. The level of home court and home field advantage is fluid and will vary
game-to-game, especially with lower profile schools where sellouts are far from
a given.
What the average gambler takes for granted, the sharp player
yearns for. No edge is too banal for smart money players. Best of all, one need
not always have access to a private booster newsletter or collude with a rogue
official. So often the most indispensable information to the gambler can be in
the fourth paragraph of a squad's hometown newspaper or within the official team
press release.
Author's Resource Box
The author Joe Duffy is the top href=http:www.offshoreinsiders>sports
handicapping expert and CEO of OffshoreInsiders
Article Source:
锘? First let's get your head straight.... Overcoming the fear of rejection is
a big hurdle to climb over as a new network marketer.I've been there, and I know
how painful the process can be Authentic Kris
Versteeg Jersey , but it's unavoidable. The truth is that by
choosing to be an entrepreneur you've signed up to hear more people say no to
you than ye.