Astros Trade Carlos Lee To Marlins For Prospects - RealGM
Wiretap The Astros have traded first baseman Carlos Lee to the
Marlins
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Olney. Coming back to the Astros from Miami are third baseman Matt Dominguez and
pitcher Rob Rasmussen, according to the sources. 锘? At some point, if they last
long enough, all traders discover that successful trading is not the inevitable
result of a good trading strategy or system. If all we needed was a good system
or indicator we would all be successful traders. Yet clearly we are not, far
from it, there are very few traders making their living consistently from the
markets. Technical analysis is a vast and well researched subject. Many minds
have poured their heart and soul into searching for the holy grail of trading:
the system, strategy or indicator that will yield to them unlimited wealth and
glory. Yet with all this depth of knowledge readily available, trading profits
remain as elusive as ever. If we were to take a scientific approach to
evaluating technical analysis we would have to conclude that it is of limited
value. System vendors though, will continue to exploit our desire to believe
that there really is some secret knowledge that will enable us to transform into
super traders as soon as we expose ourselves to their secrets. It is a very
tempting fable to believe in, it offers an answer to our prayers and our
problems, it engages our ego (how great to conquer the markets and escape the
drudgery of work etc.) and it allows us, briefly, to relinquish the painful
self-doubt that we are unconsciously fighting. The system vendors flatter and
deceive us in the same way that street sellers sell exclusive, stolen perfume,
which is usually no more than bottled water. We are easily deceived when we are
told exactly what we want to hear. Let us pretend that a system vendor really
has a system that works as they claim. Let us also assume that his cup truly
does 'runneth over' and he sincerely wishes to share his knowledge as a way of
repaying his good fortune; and finally let us assume that he charges a
fee
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clients really take him seriously. Assuming all this, does it make sense to make
his knowledge available in a book or a seminar? We all have discovered that
trading is not easy and one of its biggest challenges is following our signals,
be they based on an indicator or our intuition. It is so easy to doubt our
signal when the moment to act arrives, we hesitate and the opportunity is gone.
So having learnt our hero's strategy we then have to become adept at
implementing it, which brings with it a whole host of problems that only become
apparent as we attempt to execute the system. Now the issues that get in the way
of implementing a strategy are not issues that any system vendor can resolve in
a book or a weekend. In fact the system vendor would have it that all our
previous problems with trading result from not having a good enough strategy,
which of course is a problem he can easily solve for us. The basic premise of
the system vendor is that all the psychological issues in trading, in fact all
the problems we have in trading, are a consequence of not having a really good
system or strategy. This I do not believe, it is like claiming that we could all
play golf like Tiger Woods if we had a certain set of golf clubs, or that we
could achieve the same level of success as Pete Sampras if we used the latest
racket. We all need golf clubs to play golf or a tennis racket to play tennis,
no question; but they do not determine our success. Tiger Woods would still be a
great golfer even if he was handicapped by playing with antiquated clubs, but no
novice golfer is going to be transformed into Tiger Woods simply by buying the
right equipment. If the system vendor has perfected the perfect trading system
and if he has developed the skill to successfully implement this system, surely
the most effective method to share his good fortune would be to create a fund
that we could all invest in. That way the vendor can ensure that we all receive
the full potential of his system without any effort on our part, without us
having to overcome the bigger challenge of implementing the system ourselves.
Presumably for every client who learns the system only a few manage to implement
it successfully
nike air
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benefit of the system; so why not start a fund, a much better way to share the
fruits of his good fortune. The other question that is frequently asked is why
doesn't the vendor display the full results of trading the system? Instead we
get comments like '97points this morning, thanks a $ grand!' from a satisfied
punter. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of any system we need to be able
to see the results of every trade, over a significant period of time, so we can
compute the necessary statistics. To develop these skills we need to get our
feet dirty, plunge into the markets and have experiences. These experiences are
all good; they are the feedback we need to gauge our current state of
development. Without feedback we have no means of progressing. When I first
started to play tennis I did not go straight into a competitive game and try to
win, I started by learning the basic skills of tennis, the forehand, the
backhand and the serve. As a novice it was normal, expected even, for me to hit
the ball repeatedly in the net or hit it sailing out; this just indicated that I
needed to work on these shots. Imagine taking this approach to trading. Lots of
losing trades is to be expected for the novice trader, it is the first feedback,
which reinforces the fact that the first skill of trading is to cut losses
short. A novice tennis player needs to learn to control the ball so that it
lands in the court; the novice trader needs to learn to control his losses. This
is how we learn; it is a constant cycle of tra.